Pokémon GO TCG Pull Rates & Pack EV — Rip or Skip?

Right now: the best rip in Pokémon GO is the Booster Pack at $10.36 against $5.80 of expected pulls — a −52% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

The Pokémon GO set, released July 1, 2022, is the mobile game's crossover moment — best known for Radiant Charizard, Mewtwo VSTAR, and the peel-off Ditto cards that hide beneath sticker fronts of common Pokémon. It's a special set with a personality, which is more than most tie-ins manage.

The odds carry a twist worth knowing: by community estimates, the holo slot produces a Radiant rare about 1 in 20 packs — noticeably friendlier than the era norm — while the hit slot runs standard, with full and alt arts near 1 in 12 and golds around 1 in 100. Radiant Charizard being both pullable and desirable does real work for the set's floor.

Like most special sets, there are no 36-pack booster boxes: it's single packs, a 10-pack Elite Trainer Box and Premium Collections. The live tables below show which of those, if any, holds up against current prices.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack −52% $10.36 $5.80
Elite Trainer Box −69% $159.96 $58.03
Premium Collection −81% $153.78 $34.82

Pull-rate model

Pokémon GO packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Reverse HoloReverse Holo100%
Holo Rare slotRare Holo55%
Holo Rare slotRare Holo V30%
Holo Rare slotRare Holo VSTAR10%
Holo Rare slotRadiant Rare5%
Hit slotHolo Rare (baseline)89%
Hit slotFull / Alt Art8%
Hit slotRainbow Rare2%
Hit slotGold Secret1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the chase cards in the Pokémon GO set?

Radiant Charizard and Mewtwo VSTAR lead the set, with its alt arts and gold secrets behind them. The peel-off Ditto cards are a novelty chase of their own.

What are the peel-off Ditto cards?

Certain common cards in Pokémon GO packs have a removable sticker front; peeling it reveals a Ditto card underneath, mirroring the mobile game's disguise mechanic.

Can you buy Pokémon GO booster boxes?

No — the set skipped standard booster boxes. It was sold as single packs, a 10-pack Elite Trainer Box and 6-pack Premium Collections.

🎴 Rip a Pokémon GO pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →