Right now: the best rip in Silver Tempest is the Build & Battle Box at $55.44 against $23.92 of expected pulls — a −63% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Silver Tempest arrived November 11, 2022 as the final numbered Sword & Shield expansion, and its identity is one bird: the Lugia V alternate art is the headline chase, with Lugia VSTAR anchoring the competitive side of the set.
The pack structure is the standard late-SWSH template — a reverse slot, a holo rare slot, and a hit slot. By the community estimates we use, about 1 in 9 packs upgrades that hit slot past a baseline holo, an alternate or full art shows up roughly 1 in 12 packs, and golds run near 1 in 100. Most packs, in other words, hand you a bulk holo and a handshake.
That concentration is what decides the EV. When one alternate art carries most of a set's singles value, the average pack return depends almost entirely on cards you probably won't pull. The live tables below show current pack, Elite Trainer Box, Booster Bundle and booster box pricing against what the cards actually return.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −66% | $14.79 | $5.98 |
| Elite Trainer Box | −75% | $161.41 | $47.84 |
| Booster Bundle | −74% | $117.38 | $35.88 |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −66% | $530.41 | $215.28 |
| Build & Battle Box | −63% | $55.44 | $23.92 |
Pull-rate model
Silver Tempest packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo | 66% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo V | 27% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo VMAX | 7% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 89% |
| Hit slot | Full / Alt Art | 8% |
| Hit slot | Rainbow Rare | 2% |
| Hit slot | Gold Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Silver Tempest booster box?
A Silver Tempest booster box holds 36 packs of 10 cards each. The Elite Trainer Box includes 8 packs, the Booster Bundle 6, and the Build & Battle Box 4.
What is the main chase card in Silver Tempest?
The Lugia V alternate art is the set's defining pull, with Lugia VSTAR and the other secret-tier cards behind it. Alt arts occupy the rarest meaningful tier of the hit slot.
Are Silver Tempest pull rates published anywhere officially?
No — all rates here are community estimates built from large numbers of recorded pack openings. The Pokémon Company has never published official pull rates.
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