Right now: the best rip in Cosmic Eclipse is the Booster Pack at $72.35 against $21.14 of expected pulls — a −75% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 6% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Cosmic Eclipse closed out the Sun & Moon era on November 1, 2019, and it went out big: the largest set of the era, 21 gold secret rares, and a TAG TEAM roster headlined by Charizard & Braixen-GX. As the SM finale it draws steady collector demand, and sealed prices have climbed to match.
The slot math is standard late-SM fare. Expect an ultra rare or better roughly 1 in 10 to 11 packs, rainbow secrets near 1 in 50, and any given pack producing a gold about 1 in 100 — community estimates, since official rates don't exist. The catch is the checklist size: with this many secrets, value is spread across dozens of cards, and only a handful of TAG TEAM alt arts carry real weight.
That spread is what kills the rip. Pack prices carry a vintage premium set by the best possible outcome, while the average pack delivers a baseline holo. Check the live EV table below before you talk yourself into a box.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −75% | $72.35 | $21.14 | 6% |
| Elite Trainer Box | −92% | $1874.50 | $169.10 | 0% |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −85% | $4216.67 | $760.95 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Cosmic Eclipse packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare / Rare Holo | 89% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo GX | 11% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 90.5% |
| Hit slot | Full Art Ultra | 6.5% |
| Hit slot | Rainbow Rare | 2% |
| Hit slot | Gold Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Cosmic Eclipse booster box?
A booster box holds 36 packs of 10 cards each. The Elite Trainer Box includes 8 packs plus accessories.
Are Cosmic Eclipse pull rates official?
No. The Pokémon Company has never published pull rates. The odds shown here are community estimates built from large box-break samples, applied to the set's slot structure.
What are the chase cards in Cosmic Eclipse?
The TAG TEAM alt-art and rainbow secrets led by Charizard & Braixen-GX, plus the set's 21 gold secret rares — the largest gold roster of the Sun & Moon era.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Cosmic Eclipse pays for itself?
About 6% after ~15% selling fees (6% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Cosmic Eclipse pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $5.16 of cards after fees against its $72.35 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 3%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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