Right now: the best rip in Unbroken Bonds is the Booster Pack at $67.78 against $22.91 of expected pulls — a −71% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 10% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Unbroken Bonds, released May 3, 2019, is the home of Reshiram & Charizard-GX — one of the defining cards of the TAG TEAM era, both competitively and as a collectible. Its full-art and rainbow versions still drive most of what this set is worth.
The odds run on the standard SM model: an ultra rare or better roughly 1 in 10 to 11 packs, rainbows near 1 in 50, golds around 1 in 100, all community estimates. Because so much of the set's value sits in one Charizard, per-pack EV looks healthier than most SM sets — but pack prices climbed to match, and then kept going.
One quirk of this page: the Elite Trainer Box has no reliable TCGplayer market price, so we only track loose packs and the 36-pack booster box here. The live table below shows how far current sealed prices sit above what the average rip returns.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −71% | $67.78 | $22.91 | 10% |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −72% | $2544.31 | $824.74 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Unbroken Bonds packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare / Rare Holo | 89% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo GX | 11% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 90.5% |
| Hit slot | Full Art Ultra | 6.5% |
| Hit slot | Rainbow Rare | 2% |
| Hit slot | Gold Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Why isn't the Unbroken Bonds Elite Trainer Box listed?
It has no reliable market price on TCGplayer, so we can't compute an honest margin for it. We track the loose booster pack and the 36-pack booster box instead.
What is the chase card in Unbroken Bonds?
Reshiram & Charizard-GX. The regular version was a competitive staple, and the full-art, rainbow and gold-tier secrets are the collector chase.
Are the pull rates on this page official?
No. They're community estimates from box-break data — The Pokémon Company doesn't publish official pull rates for any set.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Unbroken Bonds pays for itself?
About 10% after ~15% selling fees (10% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Unbroken Bonds pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $5.40 of cards after fees against its $67.78 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 1%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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