Right now: the best rip in Team Up is the Booster Pack at $269.55 against $43.90 of expected pulls — a −86% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Team Up launched the TAG TEAM mechanic on February 1, 2019, and the market never let it go. Pikachu & Zekrom-GX fronted the set, but the real prize is the alt-art Latias & Latios-GX — one of the most wanted cards of the entire Sun & Moon era. That one card is the main reason Team Up sealed trades among the priciest vintage Pokémon products.
The odds don't care about the hype. Our model — community estimates, not official — puts something better than a plain holo in the hit slot roughly 1 in 6 to 7 packs: Prism Stars about 1 in 17, full arts around 1 in 15, rainbows near 1 in 50, golds about 1 in 100. The alt art lives in that secret-rare tail, so most packs return a holo and a memory.
With pack prices this far above the average return, Team Up is the era's clearest case for buying the single you want or holding sealed unopened. The live table below quantifies exactly how lopsided the math is today.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −86% | $269.55 | $43.90 |
| Elite Trainer Box | −93% | $4000.00 | $351.19 |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −88% | $11333.47 | $1580.37 |
Pull-rate model
Team Up packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare / Rare Holo | 89% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo GX | 11% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 84.5% |
| Hit slot | Prism Star / Shining | 6% |
| Hit slot | Full Art Ultra | 6.5% |
| Hit slot | Rainbow Rare | 2% |
| Hit slot | Gold Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Why is Team Up sealed product so expensive?
It's the first TAG TEAM set, and the alt-art Latias & Latios-GX is one of the era's most wanted cards. Thin vintage supply plus a marquee chase pushes sealed prices to some of the highest in the Sun & Moon era.
How many packs are in Team Up boxes?
The booster box holds 36 packs, the Elite Trainer Box holds 8, and each pack has 10 cards.
Are these pull rates official?
No — The Pokémon Company doesn't publish rates. Our slot model is a community estimate built from box-break data for the Sun & Moon era.
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