Celestial Storm Pull Rates & Booster Pack EV

Right now: the best rip in Celestial Storm is the Booster Pack at $58.86 against $12.38 of expected pulls — a −82% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Celestial Storm dropped on August 3, 2018 with rainbow Rayquaza-GX as its flagship pull and Jirachi Prism Star close behind. It was also the first set to ship a Build & Battle Box, which gives it one of the widest product lineups of the era: loose packs, an Elite Trainer Box, a 36-pack booster box and the 4-pack Build & Battle.

Under our model — community estimates, since official rates don't exist — the hit slot beats a plain holo roughly 1 in 6 to 7 packs, with Prism Stars about 1 in 17, full arts around 1 in 15, rainbows near 1 in 50 and golds about 1 in 100. Rayquaza sits in that rainbow tail, which is exactly why single packs are a lottery ticket rather than a strategy.

The product mix matters more than usual here: sealed premiums differ sharply between the pack, the box and the ETB, and the ETB usually commands the steepest per-pack markup. The live table below shows which format loses the least right now.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack −82% $58.86 $12.38
Elite Trainer Box −96% $1961.95 $99.04
Booster Box (36 packs) −85% $2463.87 $445.66
Build & Battle Box −83% $254.65 $49.52

Pull-rate model

Celestial Storm packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Reverse HoloReverse Holo100%
Holo Rare slotRare / Rare Holo89%
Holo Rare slotRare Holo GX11%
Hit slotHolo Rare (baseline)84.5%
Hit slotPrism Star / Shining6%
Hit slotFull Art Ultra6.5%
Hit slotRainbow Rare2%
Hit slotGold Secret1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What products exist for Celestial Storm?

Loose booster packs, an 8-pack Elite Trainer Box, a 36-pack booster box, and a 4-pack Build & Battle Box — Celestial Storm was the first set to get the Build & Battle format.

What is the top chase in Celestial Storm?

Rainbow Rayquaza-GX, with Jirachi Prism Star and the set's other full-art and gold secrets rounding out the chase tier.

Are these pull rates official?

No. The odds shown are community estimates from box-break data. The Pokémon Company has never published official pull rates.

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