Right now: the best rip in Celestial Storm is the Booster Pack at $62.86 against $13.29 of expected pulls — a −82% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 2% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Celestial Storm dropped on August 3, 2018 with rainbow Rayquaza-GX as its flagship pull and Jirachi Prism Star close behind. It was also the first set to ship a Build & Battle Box, which gives it one of the widest product lineups of the era: loose packs, an Elite Trainer Box, a 36-pack booster box and the 4-pack Build & Battle.
Under our model — community estimates, since official rates don't exist — the hit slot beats a plain holo roughly 1 in 6 to 7 packs, with Prism Stars about 1 in 17, full arts around 1 in 15, rainbows near 1 in 50 and golds about 1 in 100. Rayquaza sits in that rainbow tail, which is exactly why single packs are a lottery ticket rather than a strategy.
The product mix matters more than usual here: sealed premiums differ sharply between the pack, the box and the ETB, and the ETB usually commands the steepest per-pack markup. The live table below shows which format loses the least right now.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −82% | $62.86 | $13.29 | 2% |
| Elite Trainer Box | −96% | $2091.30 | $106.33 | 0% |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −84% | $2487.85 | $478.47 | 0% |
| Build & Battle Box | −82% | $254.65 | $53.16 | 1% |
Pull-rate model
Celestial Storm packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare / Rare Holo | 89% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo GX | 11% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 84.5% |
| Hit slot | Prism Star / Shining | 6% |
| Hit slot | Full Art Ultra | 6.5% |
| Hit slot | Rainbow Rare | 2% |
| Hit slot | Gold Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What products exist for Celestial Storm?
Loose booster packs, an 8-pack Elite Trainer Box, a 36-pack booster box, and a 4-pack Build & Battle Box — Celestial Storm was the first set to get the Build & Battle format.
What is the top chase in Celestial Storm?
Rainbow Rayquaza-GX, with Jirachi Prism Star and the set's other full-art and gold secrets rounding out the chase tier.
Are these pull rates official?
No. The odds shown are community estimates from box-break data. The Pokémon Company has never published official pull rates.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Celestial Storm pays for itself?
About 2% after ~15% selling fees (3% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Celestial Storm pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $6.88 of cards after fees against its $62.86 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 1%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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