Right now: the best rip in Paldea Evolved is the Booster Box (36 packs) at $494.24 against $252.58 of expected pulls — a −57% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Paldea Evolved, out June 9, 2023, is the set where the Iono Special Illustration Rare became the era's first true trainer-card chase — it has carried a huge share of the set's total value ever since. That concentration is the EV story: one card behind roughly 1-in-33 SIR odds, propping up packs that otherwise return bulk.
The structure is standard Scarlet & Violet: a guaranteed reverse holo, a rare slot that's a Double Rare about 30% of the time and an Ultra Rare 1 in 10, and a hit slot paying an Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 9 packs and a gold Hyper Rare near 1 in 83. Community estimates, not official rates.
Every format exists — packs, ETB, bundle, Build & Battle, 36-pack booster box — and all have recently modeled well below cost. If Iono is the goal, buying the single has been a fraction of the expected cost of pulling one. The live numbers below will tell you if that's changed.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −62% | $15.84 | $7.02 |
| Elite Trainer Box | −77% | $235.91 | $63.14 |
| Booster Bundle | −71% | $123.56 | $42.10 |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −57% | $494.24 | $252.58 |
| Build & Battle Box | −61% | $61.30 | $28.06 |
Pull-rate model
Paldea Evolved packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare | 55% |
| Holo Rare slot | Double Rare | 30% |
| Holo Rare slot | Ultra Rare | 10% |
| Holo Rare slot | ACE SPEC Rare | 5% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 84.8% |
| Hit slot | Illustration Rare | 11% |
| Hit slot | Special Illustration Rare | 3% |
| Hit slot | Hyper Rare (Gold) | 1.2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What is the most valuable chase in Paldea Evolved?
The Iono Special Illustration Rare, the Scarlet & Violet era's first major trainer-card chase. SIRs land about 1 in 33 packs by community estimates.
How many packs come in each Paldea Evolved product?
Booster box: 36. Elite Trainer Box: 9. Booster Bundle: 6. Build & Battle Box: 4. Packs hold 10 cards each.
Are Paldea Evolved pull rates official?
No — they're community estimates built from opening data. Official pull rates have never been published.
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