Pokémon 151 Pull Rates & Pack EV — Worth Ripping?

Right now: the best rip in 151 is the Booster Pack at $29.85 against $13.74 of expected pulls — a −61% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

151 is the Kanto nostalgia set — every original Pokémon, released September 22, 2023 — and it carries the highest per-pack EV of any standard-odds Scarlet & Violet set, led by the Charizard ex Special Illustration Rare. It has also carried a sealed premium so large that the EV has never caught up: nostalgia prices the boxes, math prices the packs, and nostalgia has been winning.

There's no booster box. 151 sells through loose packs, 9-pack Elite Trainer Boxes, 6-pack Booster Bundles, Binder and Premium Collections, and the 16-pack Ultra-Premium Collection. Odds follow the standard SV template: an Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 9 packs, a Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 33, a gold Hyper Rare near 1 in 83 — community estimates.

The gap between what sealed costs and what packs return has recently been among the widest in modern Pokémon. If you're ripping 151, you're paying for the experience — which is a legitimate thing to pay for, as long as you know that's the product. Live margins below.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack −61% $29.85 $13.74
Elite Trainer Box −83% $615.74 $123.67
Booster Bundle −61% $180.24 $82.45
Ultra-Premium Collection −80% $916.39 $219.86
Premium Collection −80% $343.49 $82.45
Binder Collection −85% $239.69 $41.22

Pull-rate model

151 packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Reverse HoloReverse Holo100%
Holo Rare slotRare55%
Holo Rare slotDouble Rare30%
Holo Rare slotUltra Rare10%
Holo Rare slotACE SPEC Rare5%
Hit slotHolo Rare (baseline)84.8%
Hit slotIllustration Rare11%
Hit slotSpecial Illustration Rare3%
Hit slotHyper Rare (Gold)1.2%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

Does Pokémon 151 have a booster box?

No. 151 sells through loose packs, 9-pack Elite Trainer Boxes, 6-pack Booster Bundles, 3-pack Binder Collections, 6-pack Premium Collections and the 16-pack Ultra-Premium Collection.

What is the top chase in 151?

The Charizard ex Special Illustration Rare. SIRs as a tier land about 1 in 33 packs by community estimates.

Are the 151 pull rates official?

No — they're community estimates applied through the standard Scarlet & Violet slot model. No official pull rates exist.

🎴 Rip a 151 pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →