Right now: the best rip in Shrouded Fable is the Booster Bundle at $54.55 against $39.37 of expected pulls — a −39% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 19% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Shrouded Fable is the Pecharunt mini set from August 2, 2024 — a compact, dark-themed special release sold without a booster box: loose packs, 9-pack Elite Trainer Boxes and 6-pack Booster Bundles are the lineup. Mini sets live or die on chase depth, and this one's board — led by Pecharunt ex and some strong alternate-art hits — hasn't been deep enough to cover the special-set markup.
Odds follow the standard Scarlet & Violet template: a guaranteed reverse holo, a Double Rare in about 30% of rare slots, an Ultra Rare 1 in 10 and an ACE SPEC 1 in 20, with the hit slot paying an Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 9 packs, a Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 33 and a gold Hyper Rare near 1 in 83. Community estimates, as always.
At recent prices the bundle has been the least painful format and the ETB the most. The live fee-adjusted table below has the current gap for each.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −57% | $12.93 | $6.56 | 13% |
| Elite Trainer Box | −55% | $112.71 | $59.06 | 4% |
| Booster Bundle | −39% | $54.55 | $39.37 | 19% |
Pull-rate model
Shrouded Fable packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare | 55% |
| Holo Rare slot | Double Rare | 30% |
| Holo Rare slot | Ultra Rare | 10% |
| Holo Rare slot | ACE SPEC Rare | 5% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 84.8% |
| Hit slot | Illustration Rare | 11% |
| Hit slot | Special Illustration Rare | 3% |
| Hit slot | Hyper Rare (Gold) | 1.2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Does Shrouded Fable have a booster box?
No. Shrouded Fable sells as loose packs, a 9-pack Elite Trainer Box and a 6-pack Booster Bundle only.
What is the top chase in Shrouded Fable?
Pecharunt ex and the set's Special Illustration Rare alternate arts. SIRs land about 1 in 33 packs by community estimates.
Are Shrouded Fable pull rates official?
No — they're community estimates. The Pokémon Company doesn't publish pull rates for any set.
What are the odds a Booster Bundle of Shrouded Fable pays for itself?
About 19% after ~15% selling fees (26% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Shrouded Fable pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Bundle returns $27.31 of cards after fees against its $54.55 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 1%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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