Right now: the best rip in Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest is the Booster Pack at $6.87 against $10.91 of expected pulls — a +35% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 20% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest is a Weiss Schwarz set released 2023-11-17. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.
9-card pack, 16 packs per box: most packs carry a Rare plus a foil, with RRR and rarer tiers landing about 1 in 8–10 packs. Signed and serial-numbered variants aren't modeled. Pull rates are community estimates. TCGPlayer hasn't priced every SKU yet (Booster Pack price estimated from the Booster Box (16 packs)); the refresh Action swaps in market prices as they appear.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | +35% | $6.87 | $10.91 | 20% |
| Booster Box (16 packs) | +35% | $109.95 | $174.55 | 57% |
Pull-rate model
Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Common | 50% |
| Rare slot | Uncommon | 30% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 20% |
| Hit slot | Rare (foil) | 55% |
| Hit slot | Super Rare | 25% |
| Hit slot | Triple Rare (RRR) | 12% |
| Hit slot | Special Rare | 6% |
| Hit slot | Super-Special | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest pays for itself?
About 20% after ~15% selling fees (20% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $1.38 of cards after fees against its $6.87 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 15%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.