Right now: the best rip in Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest is the Booster Box (16 packs) at $109.52 against $166.38 of expected pulls — a +29% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 55% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest is a Weiss Schwarz booster released November 17, 2023, in the game's standard format: 9-card packs, 16 packs per box, each pack carrying a rare slot and a foil hit slot. Its sealed has priced modestly next to a Special Rare tier that trades for real money, so ripping has recently modeled favourably here, which is rare on this site.
Community estimates give the hit slot a foil Rare 55% of the time, a Super Rare 25%, a Triple Rare (RRR) 12%, a Special Rare 6% and a Super-Special 2%, so RRR-or-better lands roughly 1 in 5 packs and an SP about 1 in 17. The SP tier carries the set: Talented Healer, Kaori and Endearing Girl, Myu lead, with the Hajime, Shizuku and Aiko SPs behind.
Two products are listed: loose Booster Packs and the 16-pack Booster Box. TCGPlayer hasn't priced every SKU yet, so the pack price is currently estimated from the box until a market price appears. Signed and serial-numbered variants aren't modeled, which trims the ceiling slightly. The live table pairs each sealed price with a fee-adjusted EV from community-estimated rates and current singles; the numbers refresh every couple of hours.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | +29% | $6.87 | $10.40 | 18% |
| Booster Box (16 packs) | +29% | $109.52 | $166.38 | 55% |
Pull-rate model
Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Common | 50% |
| Rare slot | Uncommon | 30% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 20% |
| Hit slot | Rare (foil) | 55% |
| Hit slot | Super Rare | 25% |
| Hit slot | Triple Rare (RRR) | 12% |
| Hit slot | Special Rare | 6% |
| Hit slot | Super-Special | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in an Arifureta Weiss Schwarz booster box?
16 packs of 9 cards each, the standard Weiss Schwarz box. Each pack carries a rare slot and a foil hit slot, so a box yields 16 hit-slot pulls. Only loose packs and the 16-pack box are listed for this set.
What are the chase cards in Arifureta Weiss Schwarz?
The Special Rare (SP) cards: Talented Healer, Kaori and Endearing Girl, Myu lead, with Unwavering Beliefs, Hajime, Resolve to Battle, Shizuku and Protective Teacher, Aiko behind them. A Wholesome Meeting, Shea is the top Super Rare.
Are Weiss Schwarz pull rates official?
No. The hit slot rates here are community estimates, not published figures: a foil Rare most of the time, a Super Rare about 1 in 4, an RRR about 1 in 8 and a Special Rare about 1 in 17. Signed and serial-numbered variants aren't modeled.
What are the odds a Booster Box (16 packs) of Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest pays for itself?
About 55% after ~15% selling fees (60% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Arifureta: From Commonplace to World's Strongest pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (16 packs) returns $124.70 of cards after fees against its $109.52 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 19%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.