Revue Starlight The Movie Pull Rates & Pack EV — Worth Ripping?

Right now: the best rip in Revue Starlight The Movie is the Booster Box (16 packs) at $26.57 against $84.71 of expected pulls — a +171% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 90% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Revue Starlight The Movie is a Weiss Schwarz set released 2023-09-29. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.

9-card pack, 16 packs per box: most packs carry a Rare plus a foil, with RRR and rarer tiers landing about 1 in 8–10 packs. Signed and serial-numbered variants aren't modeled. Pull rates are community estimates.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Booster Pack +120% $2.05 $5.29 33%
Booster Box (16 packs) +171% $26.57 $84.71 90%

Pull-rate model

Revue Starlight The Movie packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare slotCommon50%
Rare slotUncommon30%
Rare slotRare20%
Hit slotRare (foil)55%
Hit slotSuper Rare25%
Hit slotTriple Rare (RRR)12%
Hit slotSpecial Rare6%
Hit slotSuper-Special2%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What are the odds a Booster Box (16 packs) of Revue Starlight The Movie pays for itself?

About 90% after ~15% selling fees (94% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Revue Starlight The Movie pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (16 packs) returns $66.76 of cards after fees against its $26.57 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 68%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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