Right now: the best rip in SPY x FAMILY is the Booster Pack at $3.80 against $8.19 of expected pulls — a +83% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 13% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
SPY x FAMILY gave Weiss Schwarz one of the most mainstream anime licenses it has ever printed when the set arrived in January 2024. The economics are pure Weiss: a thin layer of Triple Rares, Special Rares and Super-Specials carries nearly all the value, and the most popular characters — Anya, obviously — carry the most within that layer.
Every nine-card pack includes one hit slot. Our community-estimated model has that slot land a Triple Rare about 12% of the time, a Special Rare 6%, and a Super-Special 2% — so a sixteen-pack box averages roughly two RRRs, one SP, and a top-tier pull about every third box. The dedicated rare slot, meanwhile, comes up common half the time.
Both tracked products — loose packs and the sixteen-pack box — have priced above what the math supports, which is normal for a license this popular. The live table shows which one currently gets you closer to break-even, but understand what you're buying: variance. The median rip pays back a fraction of cost; the occasional signed pull is what props up the average.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | +83% | $3.80 | $8.19 | 13% |
| Booster Box | +47% | $75.75 | $130.96 | 55% |
Pull-rate model
SPY x FAMILY packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Common | 50% |
| Rare slot | Uncommon | 30% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 20% |
| Hit slot | Rare (foil) | 55% |
| Hit slot | Super Rare | 25% |
| Hit slot | Triple Rare (RRR) | 12% |
| Hit slot | Special Rare | 6% |
| Hit slot | Super-Special | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many cards come in a SPY x FAMILY Weiss Schwarz pack?
Nine cards per pack, sixteen packs per booster box. One slot in every pack is the hit slot, ranging from a foil Rare up to signed Super-Special cards.
What's the chase tier in SPY x FAMILY Weiss Schwarz?
Triple Rare (RRR), Special Rare and Super-Special variants. As with most Weiss Schwarz sets, cards featuring the most popular characters command the biggest premiums within each tier.
Are the pull rates on this page official?
No — Bushiroad doesn't publish odds. The rates here are community estimates averaged across Weiss Schwarz sets, and individual franchises can deviate from them.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of SPY x FAMILY pays for itself?
About 13% after ~15% selling fees (15% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the SPY x FAMILY pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $0.71 of cards after fees against its $3.80 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 9%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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