Right now: the best rip in Azur Lane is the Booster Pack at $6.37 against $18.02 of expected pulls — a +140% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 25% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Azur Lane is a Weiss Schwarz booster released October 27, 2023, in the standard format: 9-card packs, 16 packs per box, each with a rare slot and a foil hit slot. The first-edition box is what's modeled here; a cheaper Second Edition reprint box also trades. Sealed pricing has been moderate and the singles pool deep, so ripping has recently modeled positive.
Community estimates give the hit slot a foil Rare 55% of the time, a Super Rare 25%, a Triple Rare 12%, a Special Rare 6% and a Super-Special 2%, so RRR-or-better lands about 1 in 5 packs and an SP roughly 1 in 17. The gold-signature SPs are the prize: Taihou and Formidable lead, with the SEC Belfast and Nagato next, then the Kronshtadt, Essex and Yukikaze SPs.
Two products are listed: loose Booster Packs and the first-edition 16-pack Booster Box. TCGPlayer hasn't priced every SKU yet, so the pack price is estimated from the box until a market price lands. The Secret Rare tier isn't broken out by the generic model, and signed or serial-numbered variants aren't modeled. The live table pairs each sealed price with a fee-adjusted EV; numbers refresh every couple of hours.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | +140% | $6.37 | $18.02 | 25% |
| Booster Box (16 packs) | +37% | $178.41 | $288.36 | 43% |
Pull-rate model
Azur Lane packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Common | 50% |
| Rare slot | Uncommon | 30% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 20% |
| Hit slot | Rare (foil) | 55% |
| Hit slot | Super Rare | 25% |
| Hit slot | Triple Rare (RRR) | 12% |
| Hit slot | Special Rare | 6% |
| Hit slot | Super-Special | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in an Azur Lane Weiss Schwarz booster box?
16 packs of 9 cards, the standard Weiss Schwarz box, each pack with a rare slot and a foil hit slot. The live table models the first-edition box; a cheaper Second Edition reprint box also trades but isn't listed separately.
What are the chase cards in Azur Lane Weiss Schwarz?
The gold-signature Special Rares: Taihou and Formidable lead, with Kronshtadt, Essex, Yukikaze and Ulrich von Hutten behind them. The two SEC Secret Rares, Belfast and Nagato, slot in just below the top two SPs.
Is the Azur Lane Second Edition box modeled?
No. The live table prices the first-edition 16-pack box and estimates the loose pack from it. A cheaper Second Edition reprint box also trades but isn't modeled separately, so treat the table's box margin as a first-edition figure only.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Azur Lane pays for itself?
About 25% after ~15% selling fees (26% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Azur Lane pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $0.75 of cards after fees against its $6.37 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 15%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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