Right now: the best rip in Age of Overlord is the Booster Box (24 packs) at $86.76 against $55.07 of expected pulls — a −46% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 6% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Age of Overlord is a Yu-Gi-Oh! set released 2023/10/20. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.
Standard core booster: 9 cards per pack, 24 packs per box, about one foil (Super Rare or better) per pack with Ultras roughly 1 in 6, Secrets 1 in 12 and the top tier about one per case. Quarter Century Secret Rares replace the Starlight tier in this set.Sealed products listed are the 1st Edition print run where TCGPlayer separates them. Pull rates are community estimates.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −62% | $5.13 | $2.29 | 4% |
| Booster Box (24 packs) | −46% | $86.76 | $55.07 | 6% |
| Sleeved Booster Pack | −71% | $6.75 | $2.29 | 2% |
Pull-rate model
Age of Overlord packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Rare | 100% |
| Foil hit slot | Super Rare | 65% |
| Foil hit slot | Ultra Rare | 27% |
| Foil hit slot | Secret Rare | 7% |
| Foil hit slot | Starlight / QC Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the odds a Booster Box (24 packs) of Age of Overlord pays for itself?
About 6% after ~15% selling fees (8% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Age of Overlord pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (24 packs) returns $41.13 of cards after fees against its $86.76 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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