Right now: the best rip in Age of Overlord is the Booster Box (24 packs) at $89.01 against $56.01 of expected pulls — a −47% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 6% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Age of Overlord (October 20, 2023) is a standard Yu-Gi-Oh! core booster: nine cards per pack, 24 packs per box, one Rare and one foil in every pack. Like Duelist Nexus before it, it swaps the Starlight tier for a 25-card Quarter Century Secret Rare pool. Sealed has stayed firm on the strength of that pool, and margins have recently modeled deeply negative.
The foil slot is where value lives. Community estimates give it a Super Rare 65% of the time, an Ultra Rare just over a quarter, a Secret Rare about 1 in 14 packs, and a Quarter Century Secret about 1 in 100. Spread across 25 QCSRs, each one is a long shot, and the headliners are WANTED: Seeker of Sinful Spoils, S:P Little Knight and Diabellstar the Black Witch.
Three products: loose packs, 24-pack 1st Edition boxes and sleeved packs, which carry a premium for the same nine cards. The table below shows fee-adjusted margin and the odds each product clears its cost; the box is usually the cheapest way to buy 24 foil slots. Rates are community estimates, and a 25-card QCSR pool cuts both ways: many hits, each one rare.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −62% | $5.23 | $2.33 | 8% |
| Booster Box (24 packs) | −47% | $89.01 | $56.01 | 6% |
| Sleeved Booster Pack | −71% | $6.75 | $2.33 | 2% |
Pull-rate model
Age of Overlord packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Rare | 100% |
| Foil hit slot | Super Rare | 65% |
| Foil hit slot | Ultra Rare | 27% |
| Foil hit slot | Secret Rare | 7% |
| Foil hit slot | Starlight / QC Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in an Age of Overlord booster box?
24 packs of nine cards. Each pack carries one Rare and one foil, so a box is 24 foil slots; by the model that's roughly six Ultra Rares, one or two Secret Rares, and a Quarter Century Secret only every few boxes.
Does Age of Overlord have Starlight Rares?
No. Age of Overlord uses Quarter Century Secret Rares in place of the Starlight tier, 25 of them, covering cards like S:P Little Knight, Vanquish Soul Jiaolong and Super Starslayer TY-PHON. The model gives that tier the same roughly 1-in-100 slot Starlights get elsewhere.
Is the Age of Overlord sleeved booster pack worth it?
Rarely, by the numbers. A sleeved pack holds the same nine cards as a loose pack, so its EV is identical while its price is higher. Unless you want the sleeve itself, the loose pack or box is the cheaper route to the same foil slot.
What are the odds a Booster Box (24 packs) of Age of Overlord pays for itself?
About 6% after ~15% selling fees (8% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Age of Overlord pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (24 packs) returns $42.12 of cards after fees against its $89.01 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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