Right now: the best rip in Valiant Smashers is the Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) at $43.39 against $134.56 of expected pulls — a +164% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 99% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Valiant Smashers is a Yu-Gi-Oh! set released 2023/11/17. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.
Deck Build Pack: 5 cards per pack, every card Rare or better — modeled as 4 Rares plus one foil slot (Super Rare most of the time, Ultra or Collector's Rare otherwise, with a Quarter Century Secret or Starlight as the rare upgrade). PROVISIONAL: Konami doesn't publish ratios; the one-foil-per-pack structure is the community consensus. Boxes hold 24 packs.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack [1st Ed] | +151% | $1.90 | $5.61 | 37% |
| Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) | +164% | $43.39 | $134.56 | 99% |
Pull-rate model
Valiant Smashers packs hold 5 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare #1 | Rare | 100% |
| Rare #2 | Rare | 100% |
| Rare #3 | Rare | 100% |
| Rare #4 | Rare | 100% |
| Foil slot | Super Rare | 60% |
| Foil slot | Ultra Rare | 27% |
| Foil slot | Collector's Rare | 10% |
| Foil slot | QCSR / Starlight | 3% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the odds a Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) of Valiant Smashers pays for itself?
About 99% after ~15% selling fees (100% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Valiant Smashers pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) returns $108.04 of cards after fees against its $43.39 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 71%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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