Right now: the best rip in Duelist Nexus is the Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) at $41.64 against $45.17 of expected pulls — a −8% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 25% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Duelist Nexus (July 28, 2023) is a standard Yu-Gi-Oh! core booster: nine cards per pack, one Rare and one foil per pack, 24 packs per 1st Edition box. It swaps the five-card Starlight tier for 25 Quarter Century Secret Rares, and sealed has stayed cheap enough that both packs and the box have recently modeled close to break-even.
The foil slot is the model. Community estimates give it a Super Rare 65% of the time, an Ultra Rare just over a quarter, a Secret Rare about 1 in 14 packs and a Quarter Century Secret near 1 in 100. With 25 QCSRs in that slot, no single card is likely; Crimson Dragon, Unchained Soul Lord of Yama, Visas Amritara and Magicians of Bonds and Unity lead the pool.
Products are 1st Edition loose packs and the 24-pack 1st Edition box, priced close enough per pack that neither is an obvious winner; the live table below shows fee-adjusted margin and the odds each clears its cost. Rates are community estimates, and the deep QCSR pool smooths the top tier: more distinct hits than a Starlight set, none of them as concentrated. Live numbers below.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack [1st Ed] | −15% | $1.89 | $1.88 | 15% |
| Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) | −8% | $41.64 | $45.17 | 25% |
Pull-rate model
Duelist Nexus packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Rare | 100% |
| Foil hit slot | Super Rare | 65% |
| Foil hit slot | Ultra Rare | 27% |
| Foil hit slot | Secret Rare | 7% |
| Foil hit slot | Starlight / QC Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Does Duelist Nexus have Starlight Rares?
No. Duelist Nexus uses Quarter Century Secret Rares as its top tier instead, 25 of them, including Crimson Dragon, Unchained Soul Lord of Yama and Visas Amritara. The model gives that tier the same roughly 1-in-100-pack slot Starlights occupy in other sets.
How many packs are in a Duelist Nexus booster box?
24 packs of nine cards, each with one Rare and one foil. By community estimates a box holds about six Ultra Rares and one or two Secret Rares; a Quarter Century Secret shows up only every few boxes, and a specific one far less often.
What are the chase cards in Duelist Nexus?
All Quarter Century Secret Rares: Crimson Dragon leads, then Unchained Soul Lord of Yama, Visas Amritara, Magicians of Bonds and Unity, Chimera the King of Phantom Beasts and Cosmic Quasar Dragon. Revolution Synchron and Evolzar Lars round out the notable QCSRs.
What are the odds a Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) of Duelist Nexus pays for itself?
About 25% after ~15% selling fees (45% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Duelist Nexus pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box [1st Ed] (24 packs) returns $34.26 of cards after fees against its $41.64 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 3%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
🎴 Rip a Duelist Nexus pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →