Right now: the best rip in Black & White is the Booster Pack at $187.99 against $10.56 of expected pulls — a −95% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Black & White, the April 25, 2011 set that opened Pokémon's Black & White series, uses the era's 10-card pack: a reverse holo in every pack plus a single rare slot that every hit replaces, with no separate hit slot. As vintage sealed, its packs trade at collector premiums, so rip margins model deeply negative by design; the singles market, not the pack price, is the real signal here.
The rare slot is simpler than later sets because Pokémon-EX hadn't returned yet. Community estimates put a holo at about 1 pack in 3, a full art near 1 in 36 and a Secret Rare around 1 in 72. Only three cards sit in those top tiers, and they carry the set: the Secret Rare Pikachu, then the full-art Zekrom and Reshiram, with the regular holo Reshiram and Zekrom well behind.
Only loose Booster Packs are listed for Black & White; no booster box or Elite Trainer Box listing has a market price, so the live table is a single row. It pairs the pack price with a fee-adjusted EV built from community-estimated rates and current singles prices. With value packed into three cards, most packs return a plain rare and a reverse holo; the numbers below refresh every couple of hours.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −95% | $187.99 | $10.56 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Black & White packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 62.8% |
| Rare slot | Rare Holo | 33% |
| Rare slot | Full Art (Ultra) | 2.8% |
| Rare slot | Secret Rare | 1.4% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the chase cards in Black & White base set?
The Secret Rare Pikachu leads, followed by the full-art Zekrom and Reshiram, the set's only two Rare Ultra cards. The regular Rare Holo Reshiram and Zekrom and the holo Zoroark trail a long way behind.
Are there Pokémon-EX in Black & White base set?
No. Pokémon-EX returned in Next Destinies, so this set's rare slot holds only rares, holos, full arts and a single Secret Rare. The full art lands about 1 in 36 packs and the secret about 1 in 72 by community estimate.
Is a Black & White booster box tracked?
No. Only the loose 10-card Booster Pack has a tracked market price; no booster box or Elite Trainer Box listing is priced, so the live table models single packs only.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Black & White pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (0% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Black & White pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $3.44 of cards after fees against its $187.99 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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