Right now: the best rip in Generations is the Elite Trainer Box at $2999.19 against $195.20 of expected pulls — a −94% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Generations is a Pokémon set released 2016/02/22. This page tracks whether its sealed products are worth opening: live TCGPlayer market prices for every product, the expected value of the cards inside, and the pull-rate model behind the math.
20th-anniversary set. Packs were only sold inside the 10-pack Elite Trainer Box and the Mythical / Red & Blue collection boxes — no loose booster boxes exist. The Radiant Collection subset (full-art Pokémon and trainers) sits in the Rare Ultra tier; there are no secret rares or BREAKs. Vintage sealed trades on collector premiums, so the rip margin is deeply negative by design. Pull rates are community estimates.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −95% | $308.82 | $19.52 | 0% |
| Elite Trainer Box | −94% | $2999.19 | $195.20 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Generations packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 62% |
| Rare slot | Rare Holo | 21.5% |
| Rare slot | Pokémon-EX | 12% |
| Rare slot | Full Art (Ultra) | 3% |
| Rare slot | Secret Rare | 1.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the odds a Elite Trainer Box of Generations pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (0% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Generations pack model rather than a simulation. The median Elite Trainer Box returns $143.80 of cards after fees against its $2999.19 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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