Right now: the best rip in Core Set 2021 is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $182.56 against $115.13 of expected pulls — a −46% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Core Set 2021 (July 3, 2020) is a Standard-era core set sold in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a basic land, with a foil swapping in for a common about one pack in three. Draft Boosters have been out of print since 2024, so shelves hold the remaining supply, and the live margin has run firmly negative.
Mythics carry the value. Terror of the Peaks and Chromatic Orrery lead, with extended-art versions above the regular printings; Fiery Emancipation and Grim Tutor follow, and Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose is the top rare. A mythic takes the rare slot about one pack in 7.4, so a box averages roughly five. The foil slot is mostly filler: foil rares land about 1 in 33 packs.
Loose packs, the 36-pack Draft Booster Box and the 10-pack Bundle are all tracked. The box has historically had the thinnest deficit per pack; the Bundle pays extra for packaging. Set and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled, which matters here because the extended-art printings come from Collector Boosters. Rates follow the published Draft Booster collation. Check the live table for current numbers.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −57% | $6.25 | $3.20 | 10% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −46% | $182.56 | $115.13 | 0% |
| Bundle (10 Draft Boosters) | −67% | $82.89 | $31.98 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Core Set 2021 packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Core Set 2021 booster box?
A Draft Booster Box contains 36 packs of 15 cards each, and the Bundle contains 10 Draft Boosters. Collector Boosters were sold separately with different contents and aren't part of this model.
What are the chase cards in Core Set 2021?
Terror of the Peaks and Chromatic Orrery top the list, followed by Fiery Emancipation and Grim Tutor, all mythics. Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose is the best rare. Extended-art versions price highest but come from Collector Boosters, not Draft Boosters.
Is a Core Set 2021 Bundle worth it compared to a booster box?
On card value alone, no. A Bundle's 10 packs generate the same per-pack EV as any other Draft Booster, but its price includes packaging and accessories, so its margin has historically trailed both loose packs and the 36-pack box. The live table has the current gap.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Core Set 2021 pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (3% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Core Set 2021 pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $95.10 of cards after fees against its $182.56 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
🎴 Rip a Core Set 2021 pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →