Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths MTG Draft Booster EV & Pull Rates

Right now: the best rip in Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $239.99 against $230.18 of expected pulls — a −18% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 23% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.

Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths, the Standard Magic set released May 15, 2020, shipped in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare or mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in about one pack in three. Draft Boosters were retired with Play Boosters in 2024, so supply is fixed and sealed prices now move on age rather than on what packs return.

The Godzilla Series alternates lead the price list: Ghidorah, King of the Cosmos (Illuna), Mothra, Supersonic Queen (Luminous Broodmoth) and Biollante (Nethroi), most of them Collector Booster pulls. The Ozolith, the five Triomes and Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy are the regular-frame cards a Draft Booster can deliver, while the Extended Art listings scattered above them belong to Collector Boosters. The Triomes, in particular, lift the rare slot's floor.

Loose Draft Boosters and the 36-pack Draft Booster Box are tracked. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled. Rates follow the published Draft Booster collation: mythics take about one rare slot in 7.4, and a rare foil turns up in roughly one pack in 33. The rare pool is broad, so EV comes from many mid-priced hits. Live numbers are in the table below.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pullsOdds it pays for itself
Draft Booster Pack −44% $9.62 $6.39 17%
Draft Booster Box (36 packs) −18% $239.99 $230.18 23%

Pull-rate model

Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Rare/Mythic slotRare86.5%
Rare/Mythic slotMythic13.5%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)No foil (bulk)67%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)Common Foil21%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)Uncommon Foil8.5%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)Rare Foil3%
Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs)Mythic Foil0.5%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

How many packs are in an Ikoria booster box?

A Draft Booster Box holds 36 packs of 15 cards. Set Boosters and Collector Boosters were sold in their own boxes with different contents and aren't modeled here.

What are the chase cards in Ikoria?

The Godzilla Series printings, led by Ghidorah, Mothra and Biollante, top the list, but they come mostly from Collector Boosters. From a Draft Booster, The Ozolith, the Triomes such as Zagoth Triome and Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy are the cards to hope for.

Can you pull Extended Art cards from an Ikoria Draft Booster?

No. Extended Art is a Collector Booster treatment, so those rows on the card list aren't counted in the Draft Booster's value. The live EV prices the regular versions in the rare-or-mythic and foil slots.

What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths pays for itself?

About 23% after ~15% selling fees (41% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Ikoria: Lair of Behemoths pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $188.52 of cards after fees against its $239.99 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.

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