Right now: the best rip in Throne of Eldraine is the Draft Booster Box (36 packs) at $204.55 against $84.69 of expected pulls — a −65% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 0% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Throne of Eldraine, the Standard Magic set released October 4, 2019, shipped in 15-card Draft Boosters: one rare-or-mythic, three uncommons, ten commons and a land, with a foil replacing a common in about one pack in three. Draft Boosters were retired with Play Boosters in 2024, so supply is fixed and sealed trades on age and scarcity rather than on what the packs pay back.
The model is the published Draft Booster collation: mythic about one rare slot in 7.4, rare foil near 1 in 33 packs, mythic foil around 1 in 200. The Great Henge is the chase by a distance; Embercleave, Wishclaw Talisman, Ayara, First of Locthwain, Castle Garenbrig and Torbran, Thane of Red Fell follow. Most of those listings are Extended Art versions, a Collector Booster treatment rather than a draft pull.
Three products are tracked: the loose Draft Booster, the 36-pack Draft Booster Box and the 10-pack Bundle, which charges dearly for its packs. Collector Boosters aren't modeled. The pull rates are the published collation and the singles pool is deep, but no amount of precision rescues a pack whose sealed price has outrun its contents this far. The live table below quantifies the gap.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft Booster Pack | −72% | $7.13 | $2.35 | 3% |
| Draft Booster Box (36 packs) | −65% | $204.55 | $84.69 | 0% |
| Bundle (10 Draft Boosters) | −82% | $109.18 | $23.53 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Throne of Eldraine packs hold 15 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare/Mythic slot | Rare | 86.5% |
| Rare/Mythic slot | Mythic | 13.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | No foil (bulk) | 67% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Common Foil | 21% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Uncommon Foil | 8.5% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Rare Foil | 3% |
| Foil slot (≈1 in 3 packs) | Mythic Foil | 0.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Throne of Eldraine booster box?
36 Draft Boosters of 15 cards each. The Bundle holds 10 Draft Boosters. Collector Boosters have different contents and aren't modeled; the table covers the loose pack, the 36-pack box and the Bundle, all priced live.
What are the chase cards in Throne of Eldraine?
The Great Henge, in both regular and Extended Art printings, sits well ahead of everything else. Behind it are Wishclaw Talisman, Embercleave, Ayara, First of Locthwain, Castle Garenbrig, Torbran, Thane of Red Fell and Mirrormade, mostly as Extended Art, which comes from Collector Boosters.
Are Throne of Eldraine pull rates official?
The structure is: the model follows the published Draft Booster collation, with a mythic in about one rare slot in 7.4 and a foil in roughly one pack in three. The split of that foil across rarities is an estimate, not a published number.
What are the odds a Draft Booster Box (36 packs) of Throne of Eldraine pays for itself?
About 0% after ~15% selling fees (1% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Throne of Eldraine pack model rather than a simulation. The median Draft Booster Box (36 packs) returns $61.50 of cards after fees against its $204.55 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
🎴 Rip a Throne of Eldraine pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →