Right now: the best rip in Chainsaw Man is the Booster Box (16 packs) at $126.02 against $142.78 of expected pulls — a −4% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 38% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Chainsaw Man (February 16, 2024) is a standard Weiss Schwarz booster — nine cards a pack, sixteen packs a box, one Rare-or-better slot and one foil hit slot. It's a licensed set with a deep hit list rather than one monster card, and sealed has stayed priced close to its singles value: the margin has modeled mildly negative once fees come off, on packs and box alike.
The hit slot pays a foil Rare over half the time, a Super Rare a quarter, and a Triple Rare or better about one pack in five. Special Rares — the set's real chase tier — land near 1 in 17 packs: Blood Fiend, Power; Always Together, Pochita; Devil Hunter, Himeno. Below them sit Over-Frame Rares like Devil Hunting Devils, Chainsaw Man and the Makima Triple Rares.
Two products are tracked, loose packs and the 16-pack booster box, though the pack price is currently estimated from the box until TCGplayer lists it separately. The live table shows fee-adjusted margin and the probability of profiting — a set with five Special Rares spreads its value more evenly than a one-card set does. Rates are community estimates; signed and serial-numbered cards aren't modeled.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −4% | $7.90 | $8.92 | 16% |
| Booster Box (16 packs) | −4% | $126.02 | $142.78 | 38% |
Pull-rate model
Chainsaw Man packs hold 9 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rare slot | Common | 50% |
| Rare slot | Uncommon | 30% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 20% |
| Hit slot | Rare (foil) | 55% |
| Hit slot | Super Rare | 25% |
| Hit slot | Triple Rare (RRR) | 12% |
| Hit slot | Special Rare | 6% |
| Hit slot | Super-Special | 2% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the chase cards in Chainsaw Man Weiss Schwarz?
The five Special Rares carry the set: Blood Fiend, Power leads, followed by Always Together, Pochita and Devil Hunter, Himeno. Over-Frame Rares such as Devil Hunting Devils, Chainsaw Man and the Makima Triple Rares form a solid second tier.
How many packs come in a Chainsaw Man booster box?
Sixteen nine-card packs. Loose packs are also listed, but their price is currently derived from the box, so pack and box margins move together until a separate pack market price appears in the feed.
Are Chainsaw Man Weiss Schwarz pull rates official?
No. Bushiroad doesn't publish pull rates; the slot odds used here are community estimates for a standard nine-card Weiss Schwarz pack. Signed and serial-numbered variants are excluded from the model.
What are the odds a Booster Box (16 packs) of Chainsaw Man pays for itself?
About 38% after ~15% selling fees (46% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Chainsaw Man pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Box (16 packs) returns $94.48 of cards after fees against its $126.02 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 10%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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