Right now: the best rip in Furious Fists is the Booster Pack at $81.26 against $10.77 of expected pulls — a −89% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 2% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Furious Fists (August 13, 2014) is the third XY-series set, with Lucario at the top of its chase list, and ships in the era's 10-card pack: a reverse holo and one rare slot, no separate hit slot. As vintage sealed, packs and boxes trade at collector premiums, so rip margins model deeply negative by design; singles prices, not pack prices, carry the signal.
Community estimates put a Pokémon-EX at roughly 1 in 8 packs, a full art near 1 in 30 and a Secret Rare around 1 in 70, all drawn from the same rare slot. Secret Rare M Lucario-EX leads the chase list, with full-art Lucario-EX and Dragonite-EX close behind, then Secret Rare M Heracross-EX, the regular M Lucario-EX and the full-art Korrina and Fossil Researcher Trainers.
Two products are listed: loose Booster Packs and the 36-pack Booster Box; no Elite Trainer Box listing is tracked for this set. The live table pairs each sealed price with a fee-adjusted EV built from community-estimated rates and current singles prices. Both rows tend to read as a steep collector premium, with the box typically pricing its packs above loose ones. Numbers refresh every couple of hours.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −89% | $81.26 | $10.77 | 2% |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −93% | $4717.50 | $387.72 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Furious Fists packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 62% |
| Rare slot | Rare Holo | 21.5% |
| Rare slot | Pokémon-EX | 12% |
| Rare slot | Full Art (Ultra) | 3% |
| Rare slot | Secret Rare | 1.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Furious Fists booster box?
36 packs of 10 cards each. XY-era Elite Trainer Boxes hold 8 packs, but no ETB listing is tracked for Furious Fists, so the live table compares loose packs against the 36-pack box.
What are the chase cards in Furious Fists?
Secret Rare M Lucario-EX, full-art Lucario-EX and full-art Dragonite-EX form the top tier. Secret Rare M Heracross-EX, the regular M Lucario-EX, full-art Heracross-EX and the full-art Korrina and Fossil Researcher Trainers follow.
Are Furious Fists pull rates official?
No. The Pokémon Company doesn't publish rates, so the model uses community estimates for XY-era packs: a Pokémon-EX roughly 1 in 8, a full art about 1 in 30 and a Secret Rare near 1 in 70, all from one shared rare slot.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Furious Fists pays for itself?
About 2% after ~15% selling fees (2% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Furious Fists pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $3.48 of cards after fees against its $81.26 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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