Right now: the best rip in Roaring Skies is the Booster Pack at $85.39 against $12.32 of expected pulls — a −88% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 3% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Roaring Skies (May 6, 2015) is the sixth XY-series set and, in the singles market, the Rayquaza set. Packs use the era's template: 10 cards, a reverse holo and one rare slot, no separate hit slot. As vintage sealed, packs and boxes trade at collector premiums, so rip margins model deeply negative by design; the singles market, not the pack price, is the real signal here.
Community estimates put a Pokémon-EX at roughly 1 in 8 packs, a full art near 1 in 30 and a Secret Rare around 1 in 70. Rayquaza dominates the chase list from top to bottom: full-art M Rayquaza-EX leads by a wide margin, then full-art Rayquaza-EX and both regular M Rayquaza-EX prints, before full-art M Latios-EX, Latios-EX and M Gallade-EX get a look in.
Two products are listed: loose Booster Packs and the 36-pack Booster Box; no Elite Trainer Box listing is tracked for this set. The live table pairs each sealed price with a fee-adjusted EV built from community-estimated rates and current singles prices. Expect the box to price its packs above loose ones and both rows to read as a collector premium. Numbers refresh every couple of hours.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −88% | $85.39 | $12.32 | 3% |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −92% | $4768.42 | $443.38 | 0% |
Pull-rate model
Roaring Skies packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 62% |
| Rare slot | Rare Holo | 21.5% |
| Rare slot | Pokémon-EX | 12% |
| Rare slot | Full Art (Ultra) | 3% |
| Rare slot | Secret Rare | 1.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
How many packs are in a Roaring Skies booster box?
36 packs of 10 cards each. XY-era Elite Trainer Boxes hold 8 packs, but no ETB listing is tracked for Roaring Skies, so the live table compares loose packs with the 36-pack box.
What are the chase cards in Roaring Skies?
Full-art M Rayquaza-EX is the clear top card, with full-art Rayquaza-EX and the two regular M Rayquaza-EX prints behind it. Full-art M Latios-EX, Latios-EX and M Gallade-EX follow, then the regular Rayquaza-EX.
How rare is M Rayquaza-EX in Roaring Skies?
The full-art version is an Ultra Rare, a tier the model gives about 3% of the rare slot, roughly 1 in 30 packs, shared with the set's other ten Ultra Rares. The regular M Rayquaza-EX prints sit in the Pokémon-EX tier at about 1 in 8 packs.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Roaring Skies pays for itself?
About 3% after ~15% selling fees (3% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Roaring Skies pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $3.10 of cards after fees against its $85.39 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 1%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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