Right now: the best rip in Phantom Forces is the Booster Pack at $229.79 against $18.63 of expected pulls — a −93% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 1% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Phantom Forces (November 5, 2014) is the fourth XY-series set and ships in the era's 10-card pack: a reverse holo plus a single rare slot with no separate hit slot. As vintage sealed, loose packs carry a hefty collector premium, so rip margins model deeply negative by design; the singles market is the real signal, and this set's top singles are among the era's most expensive.
Community estimates put a Pokémon-EX at roughly 1 in 8 packs, a full art near 1 in 30 and a Secret Rare around 1 in 70. The secrets and full arts are where the money lives: gold Dialga-EX, full-art Gengar-EX and Secret Rare M Gengar-EX form the top three, with the regular M Gengar-EX and Gengar-EX, Secret Rare M Manectric-EX and the full-art AZ behind them.
Only loose Booster Packs are listed for Phantom Forces; no booster box or Elite Trainer Box listing is tracked, so the live table is a single row. It pairs the pack price with a fee-adjusted EV built from community-estimated rates and current singles prices. Because value concentrates in three or four cards, the typical pack returns a fraction of its price; the numbers below refresh every couple of hours.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −93% | $229.79 | $18.63 | 1% |
Pull-rate model
Phantom Forces packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Rare slot | Rare | 62% |
| Rare slot | Rare Holo | 21.5% |
| Rare slot | Pokémon-EX | 12% |
| Rare slot | Full Art (Ultra) | 3% |
| Rare slot | Secret Rare | 1.5% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What are the chase cards in Phantom Forces?
Secret Rare Dialga-EX, full-art Gengar-EX and Secret Rare M Gengar-EX are the headline pulls. The regular M Gengar-EX and Gengar-EX, Secret Rare M Manectric-EX and the full-art AZ and Florges-EX round out the top of the list.
How many packs are in a Phantom Forces booster box?
XY-era booster boxes hold 36 packs and Elite Trainer Boxes hold 8, but no box or ETB listing is tracked for Phantom Forces. The live table models loose 10-card Booster Packs only.
How rare is Gengar-EX in Phantom Forces?
The full-art Gengar-EX sits in the Ultra Rare tier, which the model gives about 3% of the rare slot, roughly 1 in 30 packs. The regular Gengar-EX shares the Pokémon-EX tier at about 1 in 8 packs, split across the set's eight EX cards.
What are the odds a Booster Pack of Phantom Forces pays for itself?
About 1% after ~15% selling fees (1% before fees) as of 2026-10-27, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Phantom Forces pack model rather than a simulation. The median Booster Pack returns $2.16 of cards after fees against its $229.79 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is 1%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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