Right now: the best rip in Guardians Rising is the Booster Pack at $33.18 against $5.70 of expected pulls — a −85% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.
Guardians Rising, released May 5, 2017, was the competitive backbone of its era: Tapu Lele-GX appeared in practically every serious deck for years, and its full-art and rainbow versions remain the set's headline pulls today.
The odds follow the standard SM model — an ultra rare or better roughly 1 in 10 to 11 packs, rainbows near 1 in 50, golds about 1 in 100, and a GX in the holo slot roughly 1 in 9. All community estimates; The Pokémon Company publishes nothing official.
Sets built on competitive staples age in a particular way. The play demand that made Tapu Lele-GX ubiquitous is long gone, so what's left is collector demand focused on a short list of secrets — while sealed prices carry the full vintage premium. That mismatch is why the margin here runs deep in the red, and why the singles market is usually the saner route. The live table below has the current numbers.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −85% | $33.18 | $5.70 |
| Elite Trainer Box | −90% | $402.48 | $45.62 |
| Booster Box (36 packs) | −90% | $1783.00 | $205.29 |
Pull-rate model
Guardians Rising packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare / Rare Holo | 89% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo GX | 11% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 90.5% |
| Hit slot | Full Art Ultra | 6.5% |
| Hit slot | Rainbow Rare | 2% |
| Hit slot | Gold Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
What is the chase card in Guardians Rising?
Tapu Lele-GX — a defining competitive card of its era. The full-art and rainbow secret versions are the main collector chases, with the set's other GX secrets behind them.
How many packs are in a Guardians Rising booster box?
36 packs of 10 cards each. The Elite Trainer Box includes 8 packs plus accessories.
Are the pull rates shown official?
No. They're community estimates from box-break data applied to the standard Sun & Moon slot structure.
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