Crimson Invasion EV: The Cheapest SM-Era Rip?

Right now: the best rip in Crimson Invasion is the Booster Box (36 packs) at $625.26 against $255.45 of expected pulls — a −65% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Crimson Invasion, from November 3, 2017, introduced the Ultra Beasts — Guzzlord, Buzzwole and company — with rainbow Gyarados-GX as the top pull. It's the Sun & Moon era's unloved middle child, and that's exactly what makes it interesting: it's consistently the cheapest way into vintage SM packs.

Odds follow the standard SM model: an ultra rare or better roughly 1 in 10 to 11 packs, rainbows near 1 in 50, golds about 1 in 100, and a GX in the holo slot roughly 1 in 9. Community estimates, as always. The checklist is small and the chase tier is shallow, which caps the upside but also means the floor isn't far below the ceiling.

Cheap doesn't mean profitable. Crimson Invasion tends to show one of the smallest gaps between sealed price and rip value in the era — still a gap. If you want the vintage ripping experience at the lowest cost of admission, this is the honest pick; the live table below shows what that admission currently costs.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack −66% $18.00 $7.10
Elite Trainer Box −77% $214.31 $56.77
Booster Box (36 packs) −65% $625.26 $255.45

Pull-rate model

Crimson Invasion packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Reverse HoloReverse Holo100%
Holo Rare slotRare / Rare Holo89%
Holo Rare slotRare Holo GX11%
Hit slotHolo Rare (baseline)90.5%
Hit slotFull Art Ultra6.5%
Hit slotRainbow Rare2%
Hit slotGold Secret1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

What is the chase card in Crimson Invasion?

Rainbow Gyarados-GX is the top pull. The Ultra Beast GX cards like Guzzlord-GX and their full arts make up the rest of the hit tier.

How many packs are in a Crimson Invasion booster box?

36 packs of 10 cards. The Elite Trainer Box includes 8 packs.

Are these pull rates official?

No — The Pokémon Company doesn't publish pull rates. The odds here are community estimates applied to the set's slot structure.

🎴 Rip a Crimson Invasion pack yourself — simulated, real odds, live prices →