Shining Legends Pack EV: The Shining Mew Math

Right now: the best rip in Shining Legends is the Elite Trainer Box at $921.66 against $166.99 of expected pulls — a −85% margin after ~15% selling fees. Figures refresh every two hours.

Shining Legends, released October 6, 2017, brought Shining Pokémon back for the first time since the Neo era, headlined by Shining Mew — and it also hides a rainbow Charizard-GX, which does as much for pack prices as the shinies do. It's a special set: no 36-pack booster box was ever sold, and its Elite Trainer Box holds 10 packs rather than the mainline 8.

Under our model, the hit slot beats a plain holo roughly 1 in 6 to 7 packs, with the Shining tier at about 1 in 17, full arts near 1 in 15, rainbows around 1 in 50 and golds about 1 in 100. Community estimates — official rates don't exist.

The EV picture is classic special-set economics: limited print, no box option, two marquee chases, and sealed prices that reflect all three. The average pack returns a small slice of its cost, so the live table below is mostly a measure of how much you're paying for the experience.

Sealed products: price vs. expected value

ProductMargin after ~15% feesMarket priceEV of pulls
Booster Pack −86% $101.30 $16.70
Elite Trainer Box −85% $921.66 $166.99

Pull-rate model

Shining Legends packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.

SlotOutcomeEst. chance
Reverse HoloReverse Holo100%
Holo Rare slotRare / Rare Holo89%
Holo Rare slotRare Holo GX11%
Hit slotHolo Rare (baseline)84.5%
Hit slotPrism Star / Shining6%
Hit slotFull Art Ultra6.5%
Hit slotRainbow Rare2%
Hit slotGold Secret1%

Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.

FAQ

Does Shining Legends have a booster box?

No. Packs were only available through products like the 10-pack Elite Trainer Box, pin collections and tins — no 36-pack booster box exists.

What are the chase cards in Shining Legends?

Shining Mew leads the exclusive Rare Shining lineup, and rainbow Charizard-GX is the set's other marquee pull.

Are the pull rates official?

No — they're community estimates. Our model applies Sun & Moon era break data to this set's slot structure, with the Shining tier landing about 1 in 17 packs.

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