Right now: the best rip in Shining Legends is the Elite Trainer Box at $1016.29 against $178.52 of expected pulls — a −85% margin after ~15% selling fees, and a 1% chance it actually pays for itself. Figures refresh every two hours.
Shining Legends, released October 6, 2017, brought Shining Pokémon back for the first time since the Neo era, headlined by Shining Mew — and it also hides a rainbow Charizard-GX, which does as much for pack prices as the shinies do. It's a special set: no 36-pack booster box was ever sold, and its Elite Trainer Box holds 10 packs rather than the mainline 8.
Under our model, the hit slot beats a plain holo roughly 1 in 6 to 7 packs, with the Shining tier at about 1 in 17, full arts near 1 in 15, rainbows around 1 in 50 and golds about 1 in 100. Community estimates — official rates don't exist.
The EV picture is classic special-set economics: limited print, no box option, two marquee chases, and sealed prices that reflect all three. The average pack returns a small slice of its cost, so the live table below is mostly a measure of how much you're paying for the experience.
Sealed products: price vs. expected value
| Product | Margin after ~15% fees | Market price | EV of pulls | Odds it pays for itself |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Booster Pack | −86% | $109.15 | $17.85 | 3% |
| Elite Trainer Box | −85% | $1016.29 | $178.52 | 1% |
Pull-rate model
Shining Legends packs hold 10 cards; the slots below are the ones that carry value.
| Slot | Outcome | Est. chance |
|---|---|---|
| Reverse Holo | Reverse Holo | 100% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare / Rare Holo | 89% |
| Holo Rare slot | Rare Holo GX | 11% |
| Hit slot | Holo Rare (baseline) | 84.5% |
| Hit slot | Prism Star / Shining | 6% |
| Hit slot | Full Art Ultra | 6.5% |
| Hit slot | Rainbow Rare | 2% |
| Hit slot | Gold Secret | 1% |
Community-estimated rates — no publisher discloses official pull odds. The calculator prices each outcome from live singles data.
FAQ
Does Shining Legends have a booster box?
No. Packs were only available through products like the 10-pack Elite Trainer Box, pin collections and tins — no 36-pack booster box exists.
What are the chase cards in Shining Legends?
Shining Mew leads the exclusive Rare Shining lineup, and rainbow Charizard-GX is the set's other marquee pull.
Are the pull rates official?
No — they're community estimates. Our model applies Sun & Moon era break data to this set's slot structure, with the Shining tier landing about 1 in 17 packs.
What are the odds a Elite Trainer Box of Shining Legends pays for itself?
About 1% after ~15% selling fees (2% before fees) as of 2026-09-11, computed from the exact outcome distribution of the Shining Legends pack model rather than a simulation. The median Elite Trainer Box returns $61.47 of cards after fees against its $1016.29 price, and the chance of at least doubling your money is under 0.5%. These odds refresh with every two-hourly price update.
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